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Humanitarian Action in the Light of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Trends and Outcomes

Today, humanitarian organizations are facing complex crises. Following the growing needs of beneficiaries amidst difficult economic conditions in some countries, the COVID-19 crisis has emerged as a new challenge for these organizations. These organizations find themselves in dilemmas and difficult times, testing the strength of planning, the effectiveness of policies, the efficiency of institutional capabilities, and the strength of the foundations of sound institutional work.
For the benefit of humanitarian organizations, and after reviewing analyses and studies from several Arab and foreign sources on the expected outcomes following the COVID-19 pandemic and its repercussions in the coming period, this article has been carefully prepared to leverage it to increase the efficiency of allocating limited resources to organizations, implement proactive measures instead of response mechanisms, and inform interim and future planning for humanitarian organizations, taking the necessary steps to ensure the sustainability and continuity of their work.

Below, we will outline what humanitarian work will look like after the COVID-19 crisis, and we will highlight the initiatives and projects drawn from this new reality that will benefit humanitarian work in the future:
During the next phase and after the pandemic, class divisions will increase within some countries, resulting in inequality and increased poverty and need rates. This requires an increase in projects targeting the poor and marginalized groups by humanitarian organizations.

The frequency of conflicts and disputes will increase, requiring humanitarian organizations to prioritize the establishment of immediate and short-term response funds for solidarity against COVID-19 and long-term resilience. It also requires facilitating humanitarian response procedures, which will be more difficult and costly. Climate change and conflict will cause the number of people in need of international humanitarian assistance to rise to 200 million by 2022, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). The climate crisis will force humanitarian workers to adopt a more sustainable approach to shelter, energy provision, water resources, and food assistance. This means that humanitarian organizations must re-engineer their role and prioritize environmental projects (energy provision, sustainable shelter, food assistance, water resources, and sanitation projects). The spread of infectious diseases will increase, making them more difficult to control. This requires humanitarian organizations to collaborate with governments to provide rapid diagnosis of infectious diseases, reduce the number of people at risk, increase vaccination programs and quality healthcare, achieve universal health coverage, and increase investment in health systems.

There will be a surge in technological development, leading to unequal access to technology and leaving many people behind in this rapid pace of change, especially in countries still struggling to achieve high-quality (3G) connectivity. This will create a growing gap between the haves and have-nots of technology. This requires humanitarian organizations to become more technology-driven, more thoughtful about technology literacy, empower communities with technical education, and rely more on digital assistance.
The number of humanitarian organizations will increase, and governments will increasingly need humanitarian organizations and ask them to assume additional roles in service delivery. Therefore, it is better to establish new humanitarian organizations with additional roles that are renewed according to anticipated situations.
The number of humanitarian workers will increase, and there will be more vacancies in the humanitarian field. However, reliance on indigenous workers will increase, and expatriate positions will continue to decline due to the increased leadership capacity of national staff, limited access of expatriates to some areas, and the localization of administrative roles for some organizations.